Hyperion
Multi-gigawatt campus in northeast Louisiana, among the largest single sites announced.
Supply as reported: New gas generation under utility contract; solar additions announced
The verdict is GO: Hyperion, Meta's 1,600 MW campus in Richland Parish, Louisiana, clears every floor, with an 11% IRR against an 8% minimum and payback in about four years against a seven-year maximum. It posts a $2.2B ten-year NPV on about $68B of capex, a community score of 72 against a 40 floor and a grid load share of 41% against a 60% ceiling. The case is not comfortable on environment, scoring 46 against a 45 floor with about 4 Mt of CO2 a year, and it needs 1,547 ha when only 10 ha of open land was measured on site. The viable Gas + solar alternative scores higher overall and on environment, but at a lower 9% IRR, so the as-proposed mix remains the economic choice if its conditions are enforced. Proceed in phases, gated by land assembly and firm supply, rather than as an unconditional commitment.
- Assemble the full 1,547 ha needed for the facility and its supply, against only 10 ha of measured open land on site, before committing to the full build.
- Hold the environment score above its 45 floor, where the proposal scores 46, through delivery of the on-site gas and solar supply as modelled.
- Keep grid draw within the 60% grid-load-share ceiling, where the proposal uses 41%, and keep blended power near $0.04 per kWh to protect the 11% IRR.
- Secure the 13 phases of supply, racks and GPUs in sequence so utilization, payback and the year-5 GPU refresh remain as modelled.
- Land is the binding constraint, with 1,547 ha required against 10 ha measured open, so failure to assemble land beyond the site would stop or shrink the campus.
- The environment score of 46 sits only one point above the 45 floor, leaving almost no margin for higher carbon intensity, water use or supply slippage.
- Emissions of about 4 Mt a year and water use of about 19 million cubic metres a year will draw sustained scrutiny even though water stress is not flagged.
- A 70-month, 13-phase build on about $68B of capex exposes returns to GPU pricing, the year-5 refresh and utilization holding near 63%.
- If on-site gas or solar delivery slips, greater grid reliance could push grid load share toward the 60% ceiling and erode power cost and IRR.
| Supply mix | 52% on-site · 30% solar · 17% grid |
| IT load | 1,600 MW |
| Hardware | B200 · 80 kW racks |
| Crew · automation | 2,500 · 20% |
| Plan scores | 60 · E 64 · Env 46 · C 72 |
| Live in · payback | 70 mo · 3.7 yrs |
| Clears the floors | yes |
- Permitting, community agreement and assembly of the full 1,547 ha before land close and full commitment
- On-site gas and solar supply procurement in parallel with civil works, gated by firm supply for the first hall
- Phase 1: 145 MW hall, racks energized only as supply lands
- Phases 2 to 6: 145 MW halls staggered about four months apart, each gated by commissioned supply and prior-phase utilization
- Phases 7 to 13: remaining 145 MW halls staggered about four months apart, each gated by supply, land, environmental reporting and the year-5 GPU refresh plan
- Full 1,600 MW operation at about 70 months, gated by final commissioning and community compliance reporting
- Local-first hiring for construction trades, with the 2,500-person peak crew drawn first from the 9,000-person local labor pool and reporting on local hires each phase.
- Published noise and traffic limits with a named community liaison, regular public reporting, and corrective action if limits are breached.
- Heat reuse or water offset agreement with the municipality covering the modelled water use, agreed before Phase 1 energization.
- Sustain the local spend and tax commitments underpinning the 72 community score, keeping it well above the 40 floor, with an annual community impact statement.
| Mix | Viable | Score | Payback | IRR | CO₂ kt/yr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gas + solar 50% on-site · 50% solar | yes | 64 | 4.0 yrs | 9% | 2,916 |
| As proposed (52% on-site · 30% solar · 17% grid) 52% on-site · 30% solar · 17% grid | yes | 60 | 3.7 yrs | 11% | 3,982 |
| Renewables + SMR 50% small · 30% solar · 20% wind | no | 64 | 4.4 yrs | 7% | 195 |
| Hydro PPA + grid 60% hydro · 40% grid | no | 60 | 3.4 yrs | 13% | 2,369 |
| SMR long-term 70% small · 30% grid | no | 60 | 3.7 yrs | 11% | 1,781 |
| Solar + wind + grid backup 40% solar · 30% grid · 30% wind | no | 57 | 4.5 yrs | 6% | 1,689 |
| Grid only 100% grid | no | 55 | 3.3 yrs | 14% | 5,594 |
| Gas bridge 70% on-site · 30% grid | no | 55 | 3.3 yrs | 14% | 5,773 |
| Grid + solar 60% grid · 40% solar | no | 55 | 3.8 yrs | 10% | 3,327 |
| Grid + wind 60% grid · 40% wind | no | 54 | 4.0 yrs | 9% | 3,208 |
Energy what-if
| Metric | This mix | Baseline |
|---|---|---|
| Build cost | $67.9B | $67.9B |
| Months to live | 70 | 70 |
| Blended power | $0.039/kWh | $0.039/kWh |
| Utilization | 62% | 62% |
| EBITDA / yr | $18.4B | $18.4B |
| Payback | 3.7 yrs | 3.7 yrs |
| IRR | 10.8% | 10.8% |
| CO₂ / yr | 3,981,669 t | 3,981,669 t |
| Carbon intensity | 296 g/kWh | 296 g/kWh |
| Water / yr | 19,130,602 m³ | 19,130,602 m³ |
| Grid draw vs headroom | 41% | 41% |
| Land | 1,547 ha | 1,547 ha |
| Permanent jobs | 1,460 | 1,460 |
| Nuisance index | 54 | 54 |
- Measured open land is 10 ha; the facility and its supply need 1547 ha, so land must be assembled beyond the site (sam-3.1).
Region profile country priors
| Industrial power | $0.055/kWh |
| Grid carbon | 400 g/kWh |
| Interconnect lead | 16 months |
| Grid headroom | 800 MW |
| Grid reliability | 96% |
| Construction trades | 9,000 @ $34/h |
| Land index | 0.80× |
| Sentiment | 62 / 100 |
| Climate · water | temperate · low stress |
| Solar · wind | 0.70 · 0.30 |
| Geothermal · flare gas | no · yes |
| People within 5 km | unknown |
Baseline build cost
Scenarios
| Name | Mix | Score | Payback | Verdict | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline as reportedbaseline | 52% on-site · 30% solar · 17% grid | 60 | 3.7 yrs | Go |